Why hourly billing is a bad fit for specialist agency work.
Hourly billing is a sensible model for commodity work where the output is directly proportional to time spent — paralegal work, bookkeeping, mechanical copy production. It is a catastrophic model for judgment-based work where the output is proportional to the quality of thinking, not the hours logged.
The structural failures are predictable. Hourly billing rewards agencies for inefficiency — fast work is punished by lower fees. It penalises senior judgment — a 20-year CMO's hour is billed at 2-3x a junior's, so the junior does the work and the quality drops. It attracts cost-sensitive clients who negotiate hour rates and scrutinise timesheets, which is a terrible match for the strategic work a specialist should be selling.
The agencies that stay on hourly billing find themselves in a slow drift toward commodity work, mid-market clients, and juniorised delivery. The margin compresses, the quality drops, and the brand positions itself as a time-rental shop. Eventually the agency competes with offshore delivery firms and the game is over.